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VGP N.V. (0HM0.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - GeneralSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,232.73 - $3,790.34$3,552.10
Multi-Stage$511.65 - $559.85$535.31
Blended Fair Value$2,043.70
Current Price$85.50
Upside2,290.30%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS19.82%0.00%3.702.755.482.752.211.501.290.000.000.00
YoY Growth--34.55%-49.82%99.07%24.57%47.51%15.79%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.18%2.62%7.04%1.14%1.92%1.82%2.32%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)520.14
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)191.04
(=) Cash Retained (M)329.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)104.0365.0239.01
Cash Retained (M)329.10329.10329.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-104.03-65.02-39.01
(=) Excess Retained (M)225.07264.08290.09
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)27.2927.2927.29
(=) Excess Retained per Share8.259.6810.63
LTM Dividend per Share7.007.007.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share8.259.6810.63
(=) Adjusted Dividend15.2516.6817.63
WACC / Discount Rate6.80%6.80%6.80%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,232.73$3,552.10$3,790.34
Upside / Downside1,341.79%4,054.50%4,333.14%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)520.14553.95589.96628.31669.15712.64734.02
Payout Ratio36.73%47.38%58.04%68.69%79.35%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)191.04262.48342.40431.59530.94641.38678.97

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.80%6.80%6.80%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)243.45245.76248.06
Year 2 PV (M)294.55300.16305.82
Year 3 PV (M)344.36354.24364.32
Year 4 PV (M)392.91408.02423.56
Year 5 PV (M)440.22461.48483.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)12,248.0312,839.6213,453.84
Equity Value (M)13,963.5114,609.2715,279.16
Shares Outstanding (M)27.2927.2927.29
Fair Value$511.65$535.31$559.85
Upside / Downside498.42%526.09%554.80%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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