Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Hyundai Glovis Co., Ltd. (086280.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Integrated Freight & LogisticsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$214,385.59 - $348,000.75$274,313.85
Multi-Stage$174,800.71 - $190,472.89$182,497.33
Blended Fair Value$228,405.59
Current Price$165,400.00
Upside38.09%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS13.81%15.43%3,150.022,850.021,900.011,750.011,750.011,650.011,500.011,500.011,500.011,000.01
YoY Growth--10.53%50.00%8.57%0.00%6.06%10.00%0.00%0.00%50.00%33.33%
Dividend Yield--2.80%3.26%2.40%1.82%1.87%3.64%2.32%1.78%2.04%1.06%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,389,602.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)277,500.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,112,102.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)277,920.42173,700.26104,220.16
Cash Retained (M)1,112,102.101,112,102.101,112,102.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-277,920.42-173,700.26-104,220.16
(=) Excess Retained (M)834,181.68938,401.841,007,881.95
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)75.0075.0075.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share11,122.5012,512.1113,438.52
LTM Dividend per Share3,700.023,700.023,700.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share11,122.5012,512.1113,438.52
(=) Adjusted Dividend14,822.5216,212.1317,138.54
WACC / Discount Rate12.79%12.79%12.79%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$214,385.59$274,313.85$348,000.75
Upside / Downside29.62%65.85%110.40%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,389,602.101,479,926.241,576,121.451,678,569.341,787,676.351,903,875.311,960,991.57
Payout Ratio19.97%33.98%47.98%61.99%75.99%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)277,500.00502,816.72756,252.181,040,509.851,358,525.851,713,487.781,813,917.20

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate12.79%12.79%12.79%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)441,596.59445,782.34449,968.09
Year 2 PV (M)583,308.95594,419.35605,634.56
Year 3 PV (M)704,845.93725,079.53745,696.68
Year 4 PV (M)808,224.31839,306.34871,276.36
Year 5 PV (M)895,284.39938,526.97983,424.53
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,676,705.8310,144,094.3410,629,370.91
Equity Value (M)13,109,966.0213,687,208.8714,285,371.14
Shares Outstanding (M)75.0075.0075.00
Fair Value$174,800.71$182,497.33$190,472.89
Upside / Downside5.68%10.34%15.16%

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