Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Tianneng Power International Limited (0819.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$204.92 - $502.02$470.47
Multi-Stage$73.01 - $79.91$76.39
Blended Fair Value$273.43
Current Price$5.74
Upside4,663.59%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.22%26.84%0.390.450.250.330.360.330.300.220.270.00
YoY Growth---13.54%80.78%-24.76%-7.29%7.44%10.41%34.16%-16.56%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--5.02%7.52%3.41%4.91%2.26%6.25%5.24%3.50%4.21%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,865.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,004.88
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,860.92
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)573.16358.23214.94
Cash Retained (M)1,860.921,860.921,860.92
(-) Cash Required (M)-573.16-358.23-214.94
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,287.761,502.701,645.99
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,135.281,135.281,135.28
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.131.321.45
LTM Dividend per Share0.890.890.89
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.131.321.45
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.022.212.33
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$204.92$470.47$502.02
Upside / Downside3,470.06%8,096.29%8,646.00%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,865.803,052.083,250.463,461.743,686.763,926.394,044.19
Payout Ratio35.06%46.05%57.04%68.03%79.01%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,004.881,405.531,854.022,354.882,913.013,533.753,740.87

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,306.871,319.251,331.64
Year 2 PV (M)1,602.871,633.401,664.22
Year 3 PV (M)1,892.971,947.312,002.68
Year 4 PV (M)2,177.252,260.982,347.10
Year 5 PV (M)2,455.812,574.422,697.58
PV of Terminal Value (M)73,445.8476,993.3080,676.54
Equity Value (M)82,881.6086,728.6690,719.75
Shares Outstanding (M)1,135.281,135.281,135.28
Fair Value$73.01$76.39$79.91
Upside / Downside1,171.87%1,230.90%1,292.15%

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