Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Misto Holdings Corp. (081660.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: LeisureSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$210,829.36 - $599,588.00$561,901.76
Multi-Stage$84,710.37 - $92,614.80$88,590.39
Blended Fair Value$325,246.08
Current Price$38,550.00
Upside743.70%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS101.76%45.01%1,773.391,707.551,909.03192.99231.2353.0453.04378.6349.0745.34
YoY Growth--3.86%-10.55%889.19%-16.54%335.91%0.00%-85.99%671.57%8.23%5.13%
Dividend Yield--4.67%4.43%5.23%0.61%0.54%0.18%0.07%1.74%0.35%0.24%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)173,682.29
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)108,953.63
(=) Cash Retained (M)64,728.66
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)34,736.4621,710.2913,026.17
Cash Retained (M)64,728.6664,728.6664,728.66
(-) Cash Required (M)-34,736.46-21,710.29-13,026.17
(=) Excess Retained (M)29,992.2043,018.3751,702.49
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)57.6157.6157.61
(=) Excess Retained per Share520.63746.74897.49
LTM Dividend per Share1,891.291,891.291,891.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share520.63746.74897.49
(=) Adjusted Dividend2,411.922,638.042,788.78
WACC / Discount Rate6.71%6.71%6.71%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$210,829.36$561,901.76$599,588.00
Upside / Downside446.90%1,357.59%1,455.35%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)173,682.29184,971.64196,994.80209,799.46223,436.42237,959.79245,098.58
Payout Ratio62.73%68.19%73.64%79.09%84.55%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)108,953.63126,123.39145,064.89165,935.91188,907.26214,163.81226,716.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.71%6.71%6.71%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)117,086.23118,196.06119,305.88
Year 2 PV (M)125,020.92127,402.22129,805.98
Year 3 PV (M)132,761.14136,572.24140,455.58
Year 4 PV (M)140,310.27145,706.21151,256.30
Year 5 PV (M)147,671.64154,804.24162,209.81
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,217,144.814,420,834.484,632,319.83
Equity Value (M)4,879,995.025,103,515.445,335,353.39
Shares Outstanding (M)57.6157.6157.61
Fair Value$84,710.37$88,590.39$92,614.80
Upside / Downside119.74%129.81%140.25%

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