Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Telcoware Co.,Ltd. (078000.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Telecommunications ServicesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9,281.30 - $14,121.12$11,551.91
Multi-Stage$20,952.03 - $23,045.87$21,978.42
Blended Fair Value$16,765.17
Current Price$15,540.00
Upside7.88%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-0.49%-0.25%689.52652.46543.72521.97598.09706.84630.72543.72717.71652.46
YoY Growth--5.68%20.00%4.17%-12.73%-15.38%12.07%16.00%-24.24%10.00%-7.69%
Dividend Yield--7.87%6.10%5.99%4.86%5.20%6.07%4.35%3.42%6.30%4.91%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5,471.01
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,304.96
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,166.05
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,094.20683.88410.33
Cash Retained (M)2,166.052,166.052,166.05
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,094.20-683.88-410.33
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,071.841,482.171,755.72
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)5.175.175.17
(=) Excess Retained per Share207.15286.45339.32
LTM Dividend per Share638.74638.74638.74
(+) Excess Retained per Share207.15286.45339.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend845.89925.19978.06
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate-2.25%-1.25%-0.25%
Fair Value$9,281.30$11,551.91$14,121.12
Upside / Downside-40.27%-25.66%-9.13%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5,471.015,402.755,335.345,268.775,203.045,138.125,292.27
Payout Ratio60.41%66.33%72.25%78.16%84.08%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,304.963,583.483,854.534,118.264,374.804,624.314,895.35

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate-2.25%-1.25%-0.25%
Year 1 PV (M)3,325.653,359.673,393.70
Year 2 PV (M)3,319.833,388.103,457.07
Year 3 PV (M)3,291.783,393.843,497.99
Year 4 PV (M)3,245.253,380.103,519.10
Year 5 PV (M)3,183.533,349.733,522.80
PV of Terminal Value (M)92,043.9896,849.31101,853.28
Equity Value (M)108,410.02113,720.76119,243.94
Shares Outstanding (M)5.175.175.17
Fair Value$20,952.03$21,978.42$23,045.87
Upside / Downside34.83%41.43%48.30%

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