Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Pico Far East Holdings Limited (0752.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty Business ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$12.45 - $31.95$18.84
Multi-Stage$14.77 - $16.20$15.47
Blended Fair Value$17.16
Current Price$1.91
Upside798.18%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-1.49%2.46%0.120.080.050.020.090.130.180.170.140.10
YoY Growth--56.43%60.05%100.02%-72.22%-33.32%-26.86%9.31%21.96%33.82%5.30%
Dividend Yield--6.77%5.81%4.65%1.86%8.00%5.03%6.93%5.09%5.84%5.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)696.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)317.44
(=) Cash Retained (M)379.43
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)139.3787.1152.27
Cash Retained (M)379.43379.43379.43
(-) Cash Required (M)-139.37-87.11-52.27
(=) Excess Retained (M)240.05292.32327.16
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,244.251,244.251,244.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.190.230.26
LTM Dividend per Share0.260.260.26
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.190.230.26
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.450.490.52
WACC / Discount Rate6.45%6.45%6.45%
Growth Rate2.75%3.75%4.75%
Fair Value$12.45$18.84$31.95
Upside / Downside551.71%886.45%1,572.73%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)696.87723.01750.12778.25807.44837.72862.86
Payout Ratio45.55%54.44%63.33%72.22%81.11%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)317.44393.62475.06562.06654.92753.95798.14

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.45%6.45%6.45%
Growth Rate2.75%3.75%4.75%
Year 1 PV (M)366.21369.77373.34
Year 2 PV (M)411.20419.25427.37
Year 3 PV (M)452.63465.97479.58
Year 4 PV (M)490.68510.06530.01
Year 5 PV (M)525.54551.61578.72
PV of Terminal Value (M)16,130.5316,930.9017,762.72
Equity Value (M)18,376.7919,247.5720,151.73
Shares Outstanding (M)1,244.251,244.251,244.25
Fair Value$14.77$15.47$16.20
Upside / Downside673.27%709.91%747.95%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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