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Definitive Analysis

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TKG Huchems Co.,Ltd. (069260.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ChemicalsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$21,210.70 - $38,521.92$28,411.72
Multi-Stage$37,476.40 - $41,137.61$39,272.00
Blended Fair Value$33,841.86
Current Price$16,800.00
Upside101.44%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-4.02%2.65%983.39983.39983.39983.39983.391,207.501,472.94494.31495.53555.10
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-18.56%-18.02%197.98%-0.25%-10.73%-26.67%
Dividend Yield--6.26%4.94%4.51%4.35%4.51%8.19%6.58%2.01%2.09%2.89%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)58,615.39
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)38,370.88
(=) Cash Retained (M)20,244.51
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11,723.087,326.924,396.15
Cash Retained (M)20,244.5120,244.5120,244.51
(-) Cash Required (M)-11,723.08-7,326.92-4,396.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)8,521.4412,917.5915,848.36
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)39.0239.0239.02
(=) Excess Retained per Share218.39331.06406.17
LTM Dividend per Share983.39983.39983.39
(+) Excess Retained per Share218.39331.06406.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,201.781,314.451,389.56
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate0.65%1.65%2.65%
Fair Value$21,210.70$28,411.72$38,521.92
Upside / Downside26.25%69.12%129.30%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)58,615.3959,583.5060,567.5961,567.9462,584.8163,618.4865,527.03
Payout Ratio65.46%70.37%75.28%80.18%85.09%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)38,370.8841,928.7245,593.6349,368.1653,254.9357,256.6360,612.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate0.65%1.65%2.65%
Year 1 PV (M)39,035.7439,423.5739,811.40
Year 2 PV (M)39,518.9740,308.1441,105.10
Year 3 PV (M)39,838.1541,037.3942,260.46
Year 4 PV (M)40,009.4741,623.3443,285.55
Year 5 PV (M)40,047.8742,077.2344,188.03
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,263,841.491,327,884.441,394,497.69
Equity Value (M)1,462,291.691,532,354.101,605,148.23
Shares Outstanding (M)39.0239.0239.02
Fair Value$37,476.40$39,272.00$41,137.61
Upside / Downside123.07%133.76%144.87%

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