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Definitive Analysis

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Tokai Carbon Korea Co., Ltd. (064760.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$115,565.70 - $245,186.20$164,079.88
Multi-Stage$84,957.81 - $92,759.93$88,788.43
Blended Fair Value$126,434.16
Current Price$175,000.00
Upside-27.75%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.92%42.40%1,210.161,714.391,442.111,109.31907.62907.62705.93504.23242.03121.02
YoY Growth---29.41%18.88%30.00%22.22%0.00%28.57%40.00%108.33%100.00%242.86%
Dividend Yield--1.52%1.30%1.38%0.85%0.48%1.47%1.05%0.62%0.75%0.34%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)71,295.42
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)16,461.75
(=) Cash Retained (M)54,833.67
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)14,259.088,911.935,347.16
Cash Retained (M)54,833.6754,833.6754,833.67
(-) Cash Required (M)-14,259.08-8,911.93-5,347.16
(=) Excess Retained (M)40,574.5945,921.7449,486.51
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.5811.5811.58
(=) Excess Retained per Share3,504.763,966.644,274.55
LTM Dividend per Share1,421.941,421.941,421.94
(+) Excess Retained per Share3,504.763,966.644,274.55
(=) Adjusted Dividend4,926.695,388.575,696.49
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$115,565.70$164,079.88$245,186.20
Upside / Downside-33.96%-6.24%40.11%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)71,295.4275,929.6280,865.0586,121.2791,719.1697,680.90100,611.33
Payout Ratio23.09%36.47%49.85%63.24%76.62%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)16,461.7527,692.7440,314.2154,459.4770,273.2987,912.8193,065.48

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)24,939.3825,175.7725,412.17
Year 2 PV (M)32,696.2333,319.0033,947.64
Year 3 PV (M)39,777.0540,918.9142,082.41
Year 4 PV (M)46,224.1748,001.8249,830.26
Year 5 PV (M)52,077.5754,592.9457,204.57
PV of Terminal Value (M)787,842.11825,895.18865,404.62
Equity Value (M)983,556.511,027,903.621,073,881.68
Shares Outstanding (M)11.5811.5811.58
Fair Value$84,957.81$88,788.43$92,759.93
Upside / Downside-51.45%-49.26%-46.99%

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