Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company, Inc. (052690.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$29,017.87 - $46,214.42$36,833.20
Multi-Stage$33,315.62 - $36,421.70$34,839.96
Blended Fair Value$35,836.58
Current Price$83,800.00
Upside-57.24%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS29.76%2.38%514.96282.98237.98281.98309.98139.99219.98109.99199.98574.95
YoY Growth--81.98%18.91%-15.60%-9.03%121.43%-36.36%100.00%-45.00%-65.22%41.30%
Dividend Yield--0.90%0.43%0.32%0.34%1.38%0.93%0.91%0.35%0.72%1.84%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)103,865.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)38,005.46
(=) Cash Retained (M)65,859.54
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)20,773.0012,983.137,789.88
Cash Retained (M)65,859.5465,859.5465,859.54
(-) Cash Required (M)-20,773.00-12,983.13-7,789.88
(=) Excess Retained (M)45,086.5452,876.4158,069.66
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)38.0538.0538.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,185.041,389.781,526.28
LTM Dividend per Share998.92998.92998.92
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,185.041,389.781,526.28
(=) Adjusted Dividend2,183.962,388.712,525.20
WACC / Discount Rate9.98%9.98%9.98%
Growth Rate2.29%3.29%4.29%
Fair Value$29,017.87$36,833.20$46,214.42
Upside / Downside-65.37%-56.05%-44.85%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)103,865.00107,277.36110,801.84114,442.10118,201.97122,085.36125,747.92
Payout Ratio36.59%47.27%57.95%68.64%79.32%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)38,005.4650,713.1964,214.9078,549.0493,755.72109,876.82116,316.82

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.98%9.98%9.98%
Growth Rate2.29%3.29%4.29%
Year 1 PV (M)45,663.3346,109.7646,556.19
Year 2 PV (M)52,062.9853,085.9554,118.88
Year 3 PV (M)57,343.0459,041.3960,772.95
Year 4 PV (M)61,628.8764,074.5266,592.25
Year 5 PV (M)65,033.8068,275.6171,645.42
PV of Terminal Value (M)985,810.731,034,951.461,086,032.60
Equity Value (M)1,267,542.751,325,538.701,385,718.29
Shares Outstanding (M)38.0538.0538.05
Fair Value$33,315.62$34,839.96$36,421.70
Upside / Downside-60.24%-58.42%-56.54%

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