Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Kona I Co.,Ltd. (052400.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$61,661.71 - $159,947.68$93,634.77
Multi-Stage$42,533.58 - $46,465.76$44,464.02
Blended Fair Value$69,049.40
Current Price$61,000.00
Upside13.20%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%12.32%461.290.000.000.000.000.000.000.00345.22265.55
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%30.00%83.91%
Dividend Yield--1.85%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%3.32%1.19%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)38,904.60
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9,848.28
(=) Cash Retained (M)29,056.32
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7,780.924,863.072,917.84
Cash Retained (M)29,056.3229,056.3229,056.32
(-) Cash Required (M)-7,780.92-4,863.07-2,917.84
(=) Excess Retained (M)21,275.4024,193.2426,138.47
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)14.5314.5314.53
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,464.011,664.801,798.65
LTM Dividend per Share677.68677.68677.68
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,464.011,664.801,798.65
(=) Adjusted Dividend2,141.702,342.482,476.34
WACC / Discount Rate9.16%9.16%9.16%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$61,661.71$93,634.77$159,947.68
Upside / Downside1.08%53.50%162.21%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)38,904.6041,433.4044,126.5746,994.7950,049.4653,302.6754,901.75
Payout Ratio25.31%38.25%51.19%64.13%77.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9,848.2815,848.7522,587.6630,135.6838,569.5047,972.4050,784.12

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.16%9.16%9.16%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)14,381.9214,518.2514,654.57
Year 2 PV (M)18,600.1118,954.3919,312.01
Year 3 PV (M)22,518.9023,165.3423,824.03
Year 4 PV (M)26,153.6627,159.4528,193.98
Year 5 PV (M)29,519.0230,944.8032,425.15
PV of Terminal Value (M)506,934.95531,420.10556,842.35
Equity Value (M)618,108.56646,162.32675,252.08
Shares Outstanding (M)14.5314.5314.53
Fair Value$42,533.58$44,464.02$46,465.76
Upside / Downside-30.27%-27.11%-23.83%

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