Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

KEPCO Plant Service & Engineering Co.,Ltd. (051600.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$50,049.89 - $101,972.92$70,034.30
Multi-Stage$75,961.63 - $83,250.22$79,537.16
Blended Fair Value$74,785.73
Current Price$60,100.00
Upside24.44%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.81%3.57%2,158.001,305.001,199.001,146.001,920.001,790.001,470.00680.001,690.001,670.00
YoY Growth--65.36%8.84%4.62%-40.31%7.26%21.77%116.18%-59.76%1.20%9.87%
Dividend Yield--5.16%3.60%3.17%2.74%6.10%6.16%4.21%1.49%2.71%2.61%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)131,439.21
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)111,105.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)20,334.21
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)26,287.8416,429.909,857.94
Cash Retained (M)20,334.2120,334.2120,334.21
(-) Cash Required (M)-26,287.84-16,429.90-9,857.94
(=) Excess Retained (M)-5,953.633,904.3110,476.27
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)45.0045.0045.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share-132.3086.76232.81
LTM Dividend per Share2,469.002,469.002,469.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share-132.3086.76232.81
(=) Adjusted Dividend2,336.702,555.762,701.81
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate1.67%2.67%3.67%
Fair Value$50,049.89$70,034.30$101,972.92
Upside / Downside-16.72%16.53%69.67%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)131,439.21134,953.01138,560.75142,264.94146,068.15149,973.03154,472.22
Payout Ratio84.53%85.62%86.72%87.81%88.91%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)111,105.00115,551.70120,156.76124,925.44129,863.22134,975.73142,886.81

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate1.67%2.67%3.67%
Year 1 PV (M)107,523.09108,580.62109,638.16
Year 2 PV (M)104,039.66106,096.28108,173.02
Year 3 PV (M)100,653.07103,652.27106,710.47
Year 4 PV (M)97,361.59101,248.84105,251.35
Year 5 PV (M)94,163.4998,886.17103,796.46
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,914,532.373,060,707.893,212,690.48
Equity Value (M)3,418,273.283,579,172.083,746,259.94
Shares Outstanding (M)45.0045.0045.00
Fair Value$75,961.63$79,537.16$83,250.22
Upside / Downside26.39%32.34%38.52%

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