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Tristate Holdings Limited (0458.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$53.29 - $184.05$172.48
Multi-Stage$27.80 - $30.45$29.10
Blended Fair Value$100.79
Current Price$2.33
Upside4,225.75%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%15.42%0.250.060.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.06
YoY Growth--318.20%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.15%
Dividend Yield--9.96%2.90%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%2.12%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)254.75
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)84.45
(=) Cash Retained (M)170.30
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)50.9531.8419.11
Cash Retained (M)170.30170.30170.30
(-) Cash Required (M)-50.95-31.84-19.11
(=) Excess Retained (M)119.35138.46151.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)273.64273.64273.64
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.440.510.55
LTM Dividend per Share0.310.310.31
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.440.510.55
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.740.810.86
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate4.87%5.87%6.87%
Fair Value$53.29$172.48$184.05
Upside / Downside2,186.98%7,302.40%7,799.30%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)254.75269.70285.53302.28320.03338.81348.97
Payout Ratio33.15%44.52%55.89%67.26%78.63%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)84.45120.07159.58203.32251.64304.93322.80

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate4.87%5.87%6.87%
Year 1 PV (M)111.85112.91113.98
Year 2 PV (M)138.48141.13143.81
Year 3 PV (M)164.35169.10173.94
Year 4 PV (M)189.49196.82204.36
Year 5 PV (M)213.90224.29235.09
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,789.977,119.937,462.61
Equity Value (M)7,608.037,964.208,333.79
Shares Outstanding (M)273.64273.64273.64
Fair Value$27.80$29.10$30.45
Upside / Downside1,093.25%1,149.11%1,207.07%

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