Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Boyaa Interactive International Limited (0434.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electronic Gaming & MultimediaSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9.64 - $14.44$11.92
Multi-Stage$75.38 - $83.94$79.57
Blended Fair Value$45.74
Current Price$5.55
Upside724.18%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-31.79%-14.31%0.040.000.000.000.000.240.000.000.000.07
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-59.87%
Dividend Yield--1.05%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%35.41%0.00%0.00%0.00%2.59%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)840.39
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)68.99
(=) Cash Retained (M)771.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)168.08105.0563.03
Cash Retained (M)771.40771.40771.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-168.08-105.05-63.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)603.32666.35708.37
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)670.07670.07670.07
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.900.991.06
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.900.991.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.001.101.16
WACC / Discount Rate0.46%0.46%0.46%
Growth Rate-9.01%-8.01%-7.01%
Fair Value$9.64$11.92$14.44
Upside / Downside73.70%114.74%160.20%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)840.39773.05711.11654.13601.72553.50570.11
Payout Ratio8.21%24.57%40.93%57.28%73.64%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)68.99189.92291.03374.71443.12498.15527.35

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate0.46%0.46%0.46%
Growth Rate-9.01%-8.01%-7.01%
Year 1 PV (M)187.00189.06191.11
Year 2 PV (M)282.15288.39294.69
Year 3 PV (M)357.70369.62381.81
Year 4 PV (M)416.49435.10454.34
Year 5 PV (M)461.02486.92513.97
PV of Terminal Value (M)48,804.2451,545.7754,409.15
Equity Value (M)50,508.6053,314.8656,245.06
Shares Outstanding (M)670.07670.07670.07
Fair Value$75.38$79.57$83.94
Upside / Downside1,258.16%1,333.62%1,412.42%

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