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Definitive Analysis

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Beijing Enterprises Holdings Limited (0392.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConglomeratesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$252.39 - $1,245.03$449.93
Multi-Stage$227.21 - $249.01$237.91
Blended Fair Value$343.92
Current Price$32.30
Upside964.77%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.72%5.30%1.501.971.291.141.141.131.000.950.960.94
YoY Growth---24.01%52.73%12.78%0.00%0.88%13.00%5.26%-1.11%2.61%5.19%
Dividend Yield--5.60%7.17%5.16%4.25%4.52%3.17%2.42%2.03%2.63%2.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)10,063.32
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4,357.24
(=) Cash Retained (M)5,706.08
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,012.661,257.91754.75
Cash Retained (M)5,706.085,706.085,706.08
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,012.66-1,257.91-754.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)3,693.414,448.164,951.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,258.961,258.961,258.96
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.933.533.93
LTM Dividend per Share3.463.463.46
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.933.533.93
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.396.997.39
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate3.72%4.72%5.72%
Fair Value$252.39$449.93$1,245.03
Upside / Downside681.40%1,292.98%3,754.59%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)10,063.3210,537.9911,035.0511,555.5512,100.6112,671.3713,051.51
Payout Ratio43.30%52.64%61.98%71.32%80.66%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4,357.245,547.056,839.418,241.349,760.3111,404.2312,072.65

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate3.72%4.72%5.72%
Year 1 PV (M)5,166.295,216.115,265.92
Year 2 PV (M)5,932.706,047.666,163.71
Year 3 PV (M)6,658.086,852.537,050.72
Year 4 PV (M)7,343.997,631.347,927.05
Year 5 PV (M)7,991.938,384.718,792.78
PV of Terminal Value (M)252,951.55265,383.31278,299.12
Equity Value (M)286,044.55299,515.65313,499.30
Shares Outstanding (M)1,258.961,258.961,258.96
Fair Value$227.21$237.91$249.01
Upside / Downside603.43%636.56%670.94%

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