Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Industry

Sector

Vitasoy International Holdings Limited (0345.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.59 - $2.15$1.87
Multi-Stage$3.08 - $3.39$3.23
Blended Fair Value$2.55
Current Price$8.44
Upside-69.76%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-24.34%-6.18%0.100.030.010.290.320.420.350.350.300.24
YoY Growth--267.53%115.81%-95.52%-9.49%-22.92%18.99%0.84%16.90%21.58%24.99%
Dividend Yield--1.03%0.41%0.09%1.95%1.07%1.77%0.91%1.71%1.92%1.68%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)360.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)132.69
(=) Cash Retained (M)227.31
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)72.0045.0027.00
Cash Retained (M)227.31227.31227.31
(-) Cash Required (M)-72.00-45.00-27.00
(=) Excess Retained (M)155.31182.31200.31
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,069.231,069.231,069.23
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.150.170.19
LTM Dividend per Share0.120.120.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.150.170.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.270.290.31
WACC / Discount Rate9.17%9.17%9.17%
Growth Rate-6.67%-5.67%-4.67%
Fair Value$1.59$1.87$2.15
Upside / Downside-81.20%-77.81%-74.58%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)360.00339.60320.35302.19285.06268.91276.97
Payout Ratio36.86%47.49%58.12%68.74%79.37%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)132.69161.27186.17207.74226.26242.02256.20

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.17%9.17%9.17%
Growth Rate-6.67%-5.67%-4.67%
Year 1 PV (M)146.15147.72149.28
Year 2 PV (M)152.91156.20159.53
Year 3 PV (M)154.63159.66164.79
Year 4 PV (M)152.63159.28166.14
Year 5 PV (M)147.96156.06164.51
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,537.902,676.802,821.73
Equity Value (M)3,292.193,455.723,625.99
Shares Outstanding (M)1,069.231,069.231,069.23
Fair Value$3.08$3.23$3.39
Upside / Downside-63.52%-61.71%-59.82%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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