Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Pan Ocean Co., Ltd. (028670.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Marine ShippingSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10,841.94 - $24,061.81$15,639.20
Multi-Stage$7,830.68 - $8,552.13$8,184.88
Blended Fair Value$11,912.04
Current Price$3,715.00
Upside220.65%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%35.31%84.97149.9599.9751.520.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---43.33%50.00%94.06%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--2.52%3.62%1.72%0.74%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)292,829.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)64,139.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)228,690.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)58,565.8036,603.6321,962.18
Cash Retained (M)228,690.00228,690.00228,690.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-58,565.80-36,603.63-21,962.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)170,124.20192,086.38206,727.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)534.71534.71534.71
(=) Excess Retained per Share318.16359.24386.62
LTM Dividend per Share119.95119.95119.95
(+) Excess Retained per Share318.16359.24386.62
(=) Adjusted Dividend438.12479.19506.57
WACC / Discount Rate9.76%9.76%9.76%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$10,841.94$15,639.20$24,061.81
Upside / Downside191.84%320.97%547.69%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)292,829.00311,862.89332,133.97353,722.68376,714.65401,201.11413,237.14
Payout Ratio21.90%35.52%49.14%62.76%76.38%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)64,139.00110,781.75163,217.06222,000.92287,737.08361,081.00382,244.36

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.76%9.76%9.76%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)99,980.28100,927.96101,875.64
Year 2 PV (M)132,940.66135,472.80138,028.84
Year 3 PV (M)163,189.86167,874.45172,647.85
Year 4 PV (M)190,888.76198,229.81205,780.58
Year 5 PV (M)216,189.84226,631.89237,473.59
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,383,920.373,547,364.993,717,065.02
Equity Value (M)4,187,109.774,376,501.904,572,871.51
Shares Outstanding (M)534.71534.71534.71
Fair Value$7,830.68$8,184.88$8,552.13
Upside / Downside110.79%120.32%130.21%

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