Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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SAMWONSTEEL Co.,Ltd. (023000.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SteelSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,827.74 - $4,686.33$3,650.07
Multi-Stage$5,723.85 - $6,294.60$6,003.68
Blended Fair Value$4,826.88
Current Price$2,560.00
Upside88.55%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-1.01%-0.93%109.67104.68104.68104.68115.07115.40115.40125.44125.44120.42
YoY Growth--4.76%0.00%0.00%-9.03%-0.28%0.00%-8.00%0.00%4.17%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.71%3.65%3.45%3.24%3.20%6.11%3.81%3.90%3.44%3.21%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)9,832.81
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4,371.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)5,461.42
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,966.561,229.10737.46
Cash Retained (M)5,461.425,461.425,461.42
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,966.56-1,229.10-737.46
(=) Excess Retained (M)3,494.864,232.324,723.96
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)39.8639.8639.86
(=) Excess Retained per Share87.68106.18118.51
LTM Dividend per Share109.67109.67109.67
(+) Excess Retained per Share87.68106.18118.51
(=) Adjusted Dividend197.34215.84228.18
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate-0.59%0.41%1.41%
Fair Value$2,827.74$3,650.07$4,686.33
Upside / Downside10.46%42.58%83.06%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)9,832.819,873.179,913.699,954.389,995.2410,036.2610,337.35
Payout Ratio44.46%53.57%62.67%71.78%80.89%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4,371.405,288.646,213.347,145.548,085.299,032.639,562.05

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate-0.59%0.41%1.41%
Year 1 PV (M)4,923.434,972.955,022.48
Year 2 PV (M)5,384.835,493.715,603.68
Year 3 PV (M)5,765.085,940.816,120.08
Year 4 PV (M)6,072.806,320.876,576.45
Year 5 PV (M)6,315.846,639.966,977.25
PV of Terminal Value (M)199,695.41209,943.51220,608.10
Equity Value (M)228,157.39239,311.81250,908.04
Shares Outstanding (M)39.8639.8639.86
Fair Value$5,723.85$6,003.68$6,294.60
Upside / Downside123.59%134.52%145.88%

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