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Definitive Analysis

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COWAY Co., Ltd. (021240.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Furnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,345,881.29 - $1,585,774.03$1,486,057.09
Multi-Stage$486,100.53 - $533,213.44$509,217.74
Blended Fair Value$997,637.42
Current Price$98,500.00
Upside912.83%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-17.73%-2.30%1,363.731,313.221,262.571,212.070.003,618.343,214.205,696.732,896.042,065.17
YoY Growth--3.85%4.01%4.17%0.00%-100.00%12.57%-43.58%96.71%40.23%20.01%
Dividend Yield--1.68%2.30%2.40%1.77%0.00%6.26%3.37%6.34%3.01%2.14%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)574,642.38
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)189,121.02
(=) Cash Retained (M)385,521.36
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)114,928.4871,830.3043,098.18
Cash Retained (M)385,521.36385,521.36385,521.36
(-) Cash Required (M)-114,928.48-71,830.30-43,098.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)270,592.88313,691.06342,423.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)71.8371.8371.83
(=) Excess Retained per Share3,766.964,366.934,766.92
LTM Dividend per Share2,632.782,632.782,632.78
(+) Excess Retained per Share3,766.964,366.934,766.92
(=) Adjusted Dividend6,399.746,999.717,399.70
WACC / Discount Rate4.70%4.70%4.70%
Growth Rate5.15%6.15%7.15%
Fair Value$1,345,881.29$1,486,057.09$1,585,774.03
Upside / Downside1,266.38%1,408.69%1,509.92%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)574,642.38609,990.34647,512.67687,343.10729,623.62774,504.94797,740.09
Payout Ratio32.91%44.33%55.75%67.16%78.58%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)189,121.02270,401.80360,966.61461,650.09573,354.41697,054.45737,909.59

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.70%4.70%4.70%
Growth Rate5.15%6.15%7.15%
Year 1 PV (M)255,836.84258,269.87260,702.91
Year 2 PV (M)323,127.59329,302.77335,536.40
Year 3 PV (M)390,997.01402,258.71413,734.59
Year 4 PV (M)459,448.86477,177.39495,414.11
Year 5 PV (M)528,486.90554,099.28580,695.18
PV of Terminal Value (M)32,960,283.7234,557,657.5236,216,371.21
Equity Value (M)34,918,180.9236,578,765.5438,302,454.39
Shares Outstanding (M)71.8371.8371.83
Fair Value$486,100.53$509,217.74$533,213.44
Upside / Downside393.50%416.97%441.33%

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