Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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AUK Corp. (017900.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$614.25 - $911.03$756.00
Multi-Stage$1,366.70 - $1,502.81$1,433.42
Blended Fair Value$1,094.71
Current Price$2,010.00
Upside-45.54%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-0.78%0.00%49.5549.5549.550.0050.5451.5251.520.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-1.91%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.91%2.17%2.17%0.00%2.13%3.49%1.97%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,927.62
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,518.19
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,409.44
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)785.52490.95294.57
Cash Retained (M)1,409.441,409.441,409.44
(-) Cash Required (M)-785.52-490.95-294.57
(=) Excess Retained (M)623.91918.481,114.86
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)50.8250.8250.82
(=) Excess Retained per Share12.2818.0721.94
LTM Dividend per Share49.5549.5549.55
(+) Excess Retained per Share12.2818.0721.94
(=) Adjusted Dividend61.8367.6371.49
WACC / Discount Rate7.01%7.01%7.01%
Growth Rate-2.78%-1.78%-0.78%
Fair Value$614.25$756.00$911.03
Upside / Downside-69.44%-62.39%-54.68%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,927.623,857.883,789.373,722.073,655.983,591.053,698.78
Payout Ratio64.11%69.29%74.47%79.65%84.82%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,518.192,673.192,821.902,964.483,101.113,231.953,421.37

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.01%7.01%7.01%
Growth Rate-2.78%-1.78%-0.78%
Year 1 PV (M)2,472.632,498.072,523.50
Year 2 PV (M)2,414.352,464.272,514.70
Year 3 PV (M)2,346.052,419.192,493.83
Year 4 PV (M)2,270.052,364.892,462.68
Year 5 PV (M)2,188.322,303.202,422.86
PV of Terminal Value (M)57,763.1260,795.4863,953.87
Equity Value (M)69,454.5372,845.1076,371.44
Shares Outstanding (M)50.8250.8250.82
Fair Value$1,366.70$1,433.42$1,502.81
Upside / Downside-32.00%-28.69%-25.23%

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