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Definitive Analysis

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DB Securities Co., Ltd. (016610.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Capital MarketsSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$162,805.07 - $261,877.00$245,392.78
Multi-Stage$63,888.07 - $70,103.71$66,937.64
Blended Fair Value$156,165.21
Current Price$8,290.00
Upside1,783.78%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-4.69%31.92%212.27181.93527.11321.61270.23269.94116.0713.3013.30116.07
YoY Growth--16.68%-65.49%63.90%19.02%0.11%132.57%772.93%0.00%-88.54%772.93%
Dividend Yield--3.98%4.34%13.13%4.81%4.47%8.95%2.38%0.32%0.37%2.96%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)53,641.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)16,222.35
(=) Cash Retained (M)37,419.55
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10,728.386,705.244,023.14
Cash Retained (M)37,419.5537,419.5537,419.55
(-) Cash Required (M)-10,728.38-6,705.24-4,023.14
(=) Excess Retained (M)26,691.1730,714.3133,396.41
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)40.3140.3140.31
(=) Excess Retained per Share662.13761.93828.46
LTM Dividend per Share402.43402.43402.43
(+) Excess Retained per Share662.13761.93828.46
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,064.551,164.361,230.89
WACC / Discount Rate5.06%5.06%5.06%
Growth Rate4.38%5.38%6.38%
Fair Value$162,805.07$245,392.78$261,877.00
Upside / Downside1,863.87%2,860.11%3,058.95%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)53,641.9056,526.2359,565.6462,768.4966,143.5669,700.1071,791.10
Payout Ratio30.24%42.19%54.15%66.10%78.05%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)16,222.3523,850.4232,251.9141,487.9551,623.9862,730.0966,406.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.06%5.06%5.06%
Growth Rate4.38%5.38%6.38%
Year 1 PV (M)22,486.3922,701.8222,917.25
Year 2 PV (M)28,668.3529,220.3129,777.52
Year 3 PV (M)34,769.0535,777.9836,806.25
Year 4 PV (M)40,789.2742,375.0344,006.58
Year 5 PV (M)46,729.8149,011.6251,381.72
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,401,965.292,519,253.252,641,078.84
Equity Value (M)2,575,408.162,698,340.012,825,968.18
Shares Outstanding (M)40.3140.3140.31
Fair Value$63,888.07$66,937.64$70,103.71
Upside / Downside670.66%707.45%745.64%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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