Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Dongwon Systems Corporation (014820.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaging & ContainersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$69,091.01 - $392,177.25$130,474.83
Multi-Stage$58,697.46 - $64,323.64$61,458.10
Blended Fair Value$95,966.46
Current Price$27,000.00
Upside255.43%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.11%0.00%619.49601.16600.34527.16439.64439.38439.38208.70208.80208.45
YoY Growth--3.05%0.14%13.88%19.91%0.06%0.00%110.53%-0.05%0.17%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.90%1.41%1.40%0.90%0.91%2.27%1.27%0.45%0.34%0.28%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)58,593.24
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)26,797.31
(=) Cash Retained (M)31,795.94
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11,718.657,324.164,394.49
Cash Retained (M)31,795.9431,795.9431,795.94
(-) Cash Required (M)-11,718.65-7,324.16-4,394.49
(=) Excess Retained (M)20,077.2924,471.7827,401.44
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)29.2629.2629.26
(=) Excess Retained per Share686.14836.33936.45
LTM Dividend per Share915.80915.80915.80
(+) Excess Retained per Share686.14836.33936.45
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,601.951,752.131,852.25
WACC / Discount Rate6.27%6.27%6.27%
Growth Rate3.86%4.86%5.86%
Fair Value$69,091.01$130,474.83$392,177.25
Upside / Downside155.89%383.24%1,352.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)58,593.2461,443.7964,433.0267,567.6770,854.8374,301.9076,530.96
Payout Ratio45.73%54.59%63.44%72.29%81.15%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)26,797.3133,540.6740,876.7448,847.2357,496.4966,871.7170,791.14

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.27%6.27%6.27%
Growth Rate3.86%4.86%5.86%
Year 1 PV (M)31,259.8431,560.8031,861.77
Year 2 PV (M)35,506.3636,193.3536,886.93
Year 3 PV (M)39,544.3740,697.5941,873.01
Year 4 PV (M)43,381.1445,076.1046,820.24
Year 5 PV (M)47,023.7249,331.4251,728.85
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,520,830.891,595,466.191,673,003.36
Equity Value (M)1,717,546.311,798,325.451,882,174.16
Shares Outstanding (M)29.2629.2629.26
Fair Value$58,697.46$61,458.10$64,323.64
Upside / Downside117.40%127.62%138.24%

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