Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Kingboard Holdings Limited (0148.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConglomeratesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$47.00 - $75.88$60.00
Multi-Stage$100.13 - $110.16$105.05
Blended Fair Value$82.53
Current Price$25.10
Upside228.79%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.37%10.18%0.981.053.002.281.100.962.041.510.560.46
YoY Growth---7.09%-65.01%31.78%107.85%14.42%-52.99%34.54%172.73%20.00%25.00%
Dividend Yield--5.22%5.80%12.08%6.00%3.35%3.88%9.75%3.56%2.36%3.74%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,885.34
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,245.23
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,640.11
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)977.07610.67366.40
Cash Retained (M)2,640.112,640.112,640.11
(-) Cash Required (M)-977.07-610.67-366.40
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,663.042,029.442,273.71
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,108.311,108.311,108.31
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.501.832.05
LTM Dividend per Share2.032.032.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.501.832.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.533.864.08
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate-1.08%-0.08%0.92%
Fair Value$47.00$60.00$75.88
Upside / Downside87.23%139.06%202.32%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,885.344,881.524,877.704,873.894,870.084,866.275,012.26
Payout Ratio45.96%54.77%63.58%72.38%81.19%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,245.232,673.453,101.003,527.893,954.104,379.644,636.34

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate-1.08%-0.08%0.92%
Year 1 PV (M)2,488.792,513.952,539.11
Year 2 PV (M)2,687.422,742.032,797.19
Year 3 PV (M)2,846.202,933.393,022.34
Year 4 PV (M)2,969.713,091.633,217.26
Year 5 PV (M)3,062.123,220.063,384.45
PV of Terminal Value (M)96,923.92101,922.99107,126.24
Equity Value (M)110,978.17116,424.06122,086.60
Shares Outstanding (M)1,108.311,108.311,108.31
Fair Value$100.13$105.05$110.16
Upside / Downside298.93%318.51%338.87%

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