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Definitive Analysis

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Motonic Corporation (009680.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$74,874.16 - $279,358.43$224,420.34
Multi-Stage$40,054.91 - $43,849.77$41,917.35
Blended Fair Value$133,168.84
Current Price$10,280.00
Upside1,195.42%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.00%5.51%449.96399.97404.05404.05305.20306.30359.45259.94295.92264.22
YoY Growth--12.50%-1.01%0.00%32.39%-0.36%-14.79%38.28%-12.16%12.00%0.40%
Dividend Yield--4.98%4.91%4.45%4.23%2.38%4.63%2.90%2.65%3.30%2.46%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)30,537.81
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)12,976.57
(=) Cash Retained (M)17,561.24
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6,107.563,817.232,290.34
Cash Retained (M)17,561.2417,561.2417,561.24
(-) Cash Required (M)-6,107.56-3,817.23-2,290.34
(=) Excess Retained (M)11,453.6813,744.0115,270.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)21.6321.6321.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share529.54635.43706.02
LTM Dividend per Share599.95599.95599.95
(+) Excess Retained per Share529.54635.43706.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,129.491,235.381,305.97
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate4.95%5.95%6.95%
Fair Value$74,874.16$224,420.34$279,358.43
Upside / Downside628.35%2,083.08%2,617.49%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)30,537.8132,356.1534,282.7636,324.0938,486.9740,778.6442,001.99
Payout Ratio42.49%51.99%61.50%71.00%80.50%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)12,976.5716,823.5121,082.5625,789.1630,981.5136,700.7738,851.84

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate4.95%5.95%6.95%
Year 1 PV (M)15,642.1015,791.1415,940.18
Year 2 PV (M)18,225.5418,574.5018,926.77
Year 3 PV (M)20,728.7421,326.9121,936.48
Year 4 PV (M)23,153.5124,048.6224,969.44
Year 5 PV (M)25,501.6426,739.9028,025.81
PV of Terminal Value (M)763,116.23800,170.30838,649.95
Equity Value (M)866,367.76906,651.37948,448.62
Shares Outstanding (M)21.6321.6321.63
Fair Value$40,054.91$41,917.35$43,849.77
Upside / Downside289.64%307.76%326.55%

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