Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Jeju Bank (006220.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$14,172.35 - $67,761.59$30,853.37
Multi-Stage$7,818.75 - $8,538.11$8,171.91
Blended Fair Value$19,512.64
Current Price$14,450.00
Upside35.04%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.16%14.14%212.64158.40143.47131.36135.28143.68115.9370.8356.6556.65
YoY Growth--34.24%10.40%9.22%-2.89%-5.84%23.93%63.68%25.03%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.82%1.31%0.63%2.01%1.75%5.92%2.38%1.03%0.78%0.69%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)13,311.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9,014.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)4,297.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,662.201,663.88998.33
Cash Retained (M)4,297.004,297.004,297.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,662.20-1,663.88-998.33
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,634.802,633.133,298.68
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)39.0739.0739.07
(=) Excess Retained per Share41.8567.4084.44
LTM Dividend per Share230.73230.73230.73
(+) Excess Retained per Share41.8567.4084.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend272.58298.13315.17
WACC / Discount Rate7.53%7.53%7.53%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$14,172.35$30,853.37$67,761.59
Upside / Downside-1.92%113.52%368.94%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)13,311.0014,176.2215,097.6716,079.0217,124.1518,237.2218,784.34
Payout Ratio67.72%72.17%76.63%81.09%85.54%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9,014.0010,231.6511,569.5013,038.0514,648.6316,413.5017,375.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.53%7.53%7.53%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)9,425.899,515.239,604.58
Year 2 PV (M)9,819.0310,006.0510,194.84
Year 3 PV (M)10,193.9710,486.6010,784.78
Year 4 PV (M)10,551.2610,957.0311,374.40
Year 5 PV (M)10,891.4411,417.5011,963.70
PV of Terminal Value (M)254,571.48266,867.38279,633.87
Equity Value (M)305,453.07319,249.80333,556.16
Shares Outstanding (M)39.0739.0739.07
Fair Value$7,818.75$8,171.91$8,538.11
Upside / Downside-45.89%-43.45%-40.91%

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