Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Samjin Pharmaceuticals Co., Ltd. (005500.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$37,033.81 - $99,582.22$56,869.40
Multi-Stage$41,731.82 - $45,743.09$43,699.85
Blended Fair Value$50,284.63
Current Price$18,810.00
Upside167.33%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.76%7.45%828.68858.26798.05798.05798.05798.05798.05706.81605.84504.86
YoY Growth---3.45%7.54%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%12.91%16.67%20.00%25.00%
Dividend Yield--4.70%4.23%3.76%3.16%3.28%3.57%2.03%1.64%1.87%1.97%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)19,743.13
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9,806.17
(=) Cash Retained (M)9,936.96
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3,948.632,467.891,480.73
Cash Retained (M)9,936.969,936.969,936.96
(-) Cash Required (M)-3,948.63-2,467.89-1,480.73
(=) Excess Retained (M)5,988.337,469.078,456.23
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)12.3312.3312.33
(=) Excess Retained per Share485.56605.63685.67
LTM Dividend per Share795.13795.13795.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share485.56605.63685.67
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,280.701,400.761,480.80
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate2.97%3.97%4.97%
Fair Value$37,033.81$56,869.40$99,582.22
Upside / Downside96.88%202.34%429.41%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)19,743.1320,527.2721,342.5522,190.2123,071.5423,987.8724,707.50
Payout Ratio49.67%57.74%65.80%73.87%81.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9,806.1711,851.4214,043.6716,391.3518,903.3821,589.0822,854.44

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate2.97%3.97%4.97%
Year 1 PV (M)11,017.6911,124.6911,231.68
Year 2 PV (M)12,137.2612,374.1412,613.32
Year 3 PV (M)13,169.6713,557.1013,952.05
Year 4 PV (M)14,119.5114,676.0315,248.84
Year 5 PV (M)14,991.1315,733.3316,504.64
PV of Terminal Value (M)449,232.81471,474.04494,587.59
Equity Value (M)514,668.07538,939.33564,138.12
Shares Outstanding (M)12.3312.3312.33
Fair Value$41,731.82$43,699.85$45,743.09
Upside / Downside121.86%132.32%143.18%

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