Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Hyundai Green Food Co.,Ltd. (005440.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Food DistributionSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$342,856.08 - $680,950.65$638,150.48
Multi-Stage$103,747.64 - $113,658.62$108,611.66
Blended Fair Value$373,381.07
Current Price$8,030.00
Upside4,549.83%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS24.50%33.44%501.25121.97125.07133.80141.52167.5970.6440.4739.8333.59
YoY Growth--310.96%-2.48%-6.52%-5.45%-15.56%137.25%74.54%1.61%18.57%20.01%
Dividend Yield--9.77%2.78%2.89%1.49%1.34%2.55%0.50%0.29%0.25%0.17%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)533,853.33
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)78,211.24
(=) Cash Retained (M)455,642.08
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)106,770.6766,731.6740,039.00
Cash Retained (M)455,642.08455,642.08455,642.08
(-) Cash Required (M)-106,770.67-66,731.67-40,039.00
(=) Excess Retained (M)348,871.42388,910.42415,603.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)155.91155.91155.91
(=) Excess Retained per Share2,237.582,494.382,665.58
LTM Dividend per Share501.63501.63501.63
(+) Excess Retained per Share2,237.582,494.382,665.58
(=) Adjusted Dividend2,739.212,996.013,167.21
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$342,856.08$638,150.48$680,950.65
Upside / Downside4,169.69%7,847.08%8,380.08%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)533,853.33568,553.79605,509.79644,867.92686,784.34731,425.32753,368.08
Payout Ratio14.65%29.72%44.79%59.86%74.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)78,211.24168,975.66271,209.01386,018.78514,607.95658,282.79696,865.48

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)157,405.02158,897.01160,389.00
Year 2 PV (M)235,338.50239,821.04244,345.86
Year 3 PV (M)312,026.68320,983.84330,110.80
Year 4 PV (M)387,484.40402,385.95417,713.24
Year 5 PV (M)461,726.35484,027.91507,182.99
PV of Terminal Value (M)14,621,780.0715,328,017.5116,061,284.32
Equity Value (M)16,175,761.0116,934,133.2617,721,026.23
Shares Outstanding (M)155.91155.91155.91
Fair Value$103,747.64$108,611.66$113,658.62
Upside / Downside1,192.00%1,252.57%1,315.42%

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