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Definitive Analysis

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Sungshin Cement Co., Ltd (004980.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Construction MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$151,672.01 - $178,695.33$167,463.69
Multi-Stage$35,343.65 - $38,716.19$36,998.78
Blended Fair Value$102,231.23
Current Price$9,280.00
Upside1,001.63%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS21.65%0.00%351.18201.31201.31155.37151.35131.840.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--74.45%0.00%29.57%2.66%14.80%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.09%2.35%1.87%1.07%1.41%2.37%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)22,348.04
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8,734.54
(=) Cash Retained (M)13,613.49
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4,469.612,793.501,676.10
Cash Retained (M)13,613.4913,613.4913,613.49
(-) Cash Required (M)-4,469.61-2,793.50-1,676.10
(=) Excess Retained (M)9,143.8910,819.9911,937.39
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)24.8724.8724.87
(=) Excess Retained per Share367.64435.03479.96
LTM Dividend per Share351.18351.18351.18
(+) Excess Retained per Share367.64435.03479.96
(=) Adjusted Dividend718.82786.21831.14
WACC / Discount Rate5.64%5.64%5.64%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$151,672.01$167,463.69$178,695.33
Upside / Downside1,534.40%1,704.57%1,825.60%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)22,348.0423,800.6625,347.7026,995.3028,750.0030,618.7431,537.31
Payout Ratio39.08%49.27%59.45%69.63%79.82%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8,734.5411,725.9515,069.3318,797.8222,947.3427,556.8729,172.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.64%5.64%5.64%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)10,995.8111,100.0411,204.26
Year 2 PV (M)13,251.1213,503.5113,758.29
Year 3 PV (M)15,500.4815,945.4416,398.84
Year 4 PV (M)17,743.9118,426.2919,128.16
Year 5 PV (M)19,981.4120,946.5221,948.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)801,585.72840,302.61880,501.29
Equity Value (M)879,058.44920,224.41962,939.41
Shares Outstanding (M)24.8724.8724.87
Fair Value$35,343.65$36,998.78$38,716.19
Upside / Downside280.86%298.69%317.20%

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