Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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DRB Holding Co., Ltd. (004840.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$99,680.22 - $117,514.37$110,093.74
Multi-Stage$65,682.48 - $72,308.46$68,931.53
Blended Fair Value$89,512.64
Current Price$4,965.00
Upside1,702.87%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.57%13.81%160.5888.4330.0389.65138.82141.47124.6074.1754.0752.48
YoY Growth--81.59%194.52%-66.51%-35.42%-1.87%13.54%67.99%37.18%3.03%19.11%
Dividend Yield--4.17%1.50%0.67%1.68%2.05%4.17%1.93%1.05%0.49%0.44%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)11,757.02
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,092.18
(=) Cash Retained (M)8,664.84
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,351.401,469.63881.78
Cash Retained (M)8,664.848,664.848,664.84
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,351.40-1,469.63-881.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)6,313.447,195.217,783.06
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)19.2619.2619.26
(=) Excess Retained per Share327.87373.67404.19
LTM Dividend per Share160.58160.58160.58
(+) Excess Retained per Share327.87373.67404.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend488.46534.25564.78
WACC / Discount Rate0.23%0.23%0.23%
Growth Rate2.04%3.04%4.04%
Fair Value$99,680.22$110,093.74$117,514.37
Upside / Downside1,907.66%2,117.40%2,266.86%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)11,757.0212,113.9312,481.6812,860.5913,251.0013,653.2714,062.86
Payout Ratio26.30%39.04%51.78%64.52%77.26%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,092.184,729.356,463.068,297.6910,237.7412,287.9413,008.15

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate0.23%0.23%0.23%
Growth Rate2.04%3.04%4.04%
Year 1 PV (M)4,672.474,718.274,764.06
Year 2 PV (M)6,308.566,432.826,558.29
Year 3 PV (M)8,001.938,239.518,481.75
Year 4 PV (M)9,754.1210,142.1510,541.66
Year 5 PV (M)11,566.6812,144.7012,745.59
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,224,461.661,285,650.941,349,262.36
Equity Value (M)1,264,765.421,327,328.391,392,353.71
Shares Outstanding (M)19.2619.2619.26
Fair Value$65,682.48$68,931.53$72,308.46
Upside / Downside1,222.91%1,288.35%1,356.36%

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