Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Chin Yang Industry Co., Ltd. (003780.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$53,597.67 - $148,080.68$138,771.64
Multi-Stage$21,481.34 - $23,513.19$22,478.58
Blended Fair Value$80,625.11
Current Price$5,630.00
Upside1,332.06%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS14.87%5.24%249.77199.82199.82174.84179.83124.8999.91174.84199.82149.86
YoY Growth--25.00%0.00%14.29%-2.78%44.00%25.00%-42.86%-12.50%33.33%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.60%2.90%3.28%1.48%2.28%4.23%2.81%6.04%5.18%2.21%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)9,700.77
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,653.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)6,047.77
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,940.151,212.60727.56
Cash Retained (M)6,047.776,047.776,047.77
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,940.15-1,212.60-727.56
(=) Excess Retained (M)4,107.624,835.175,320.21
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)13.0113.0113.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share315.68371.60408.87
LTM Dividend per Share280.74280.74280.74
(+) Excess Retained per Share315.68371.60408.87
(=) Adjusted Dividend596.42652.34689.61
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.36%6.36%7.36%
Fair Value$53,597.67$138,771.64$148,080.68
Upside / Downside852.00%2,364.86%2,530.21%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)9,700.7710,318.2110,974.9611,673.5012,416.5113,206.8113,603.01
Payout Ratio37.66%48.13%58.59%69.06%79.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,653.004,965.696,430.688,062.049,875.0211,886.1312,582.79

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.36%6.36%7.36%
Year 1 PV (M)4,617.164,660.984,704.80
Year 2 PV (M)5,559.665,665.695,772.72
Year 3 PV (M)6,480.856,667.136,856.95
Year 4 PV (M)7,381.097,665.317,957.67
Year 5 PV (M)8,260.738,660.259,075.08
PV of Terminal Value (M)247,214.32259,170.47271,584.80
Equity Value (M)279,513.80292,489.83305,952.01
Shares Outstanding (M)13.0113.0113.01
Fair Value$21,481.34$22,478.58$23,513.19
Upside / Downside281.55%299.26%317.64%

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