Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Snt Dynamics Co.,Ltd. (003570.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Aerospace & DefenseSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$76,054.42 - $180,124.39$112,153.79
Multi-Stage$55,933.64 - $60,981.23$58,412.18
Blended Fair Value$85,282.98
Current Price$72,300.00
Upside17.96%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS29.66%14.94%835.35491.38393.10301.64520.78227.990.000.00265.74132.87
YoY Growth--70.00%25.00%30.32%-42.08%128.42%0.00%0.00%-100.00%100.00%-35.98%
Dividend Yield--2.74%2.76%4.50%3.63%6.94%4.13%0.00%0.00%2.96%0.99%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)81,719.29
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)44,787.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)36,931.59
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)16,343.8610,214.916,128.95
Cash Retained (M)36,931.5936,931.5936,931.59
(-) Cash Required (M)-16,343.86-10,214.91-6,128.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)20,587.7326,716.6830,802.64
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)22.7922.7922.79
(=) Excess Retained per Share903.501,172.471,351.78
LTM Dividend per Share1,965.521,965.521,965.52
(+) Excess Retained per Share903.501,172.471,351.78
(=) Adjusted Dividend2,869.023,137.993,317.30
WACC / Discount Rate9.48%9.48%9.48%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$76,054.42$112,153.79$180,124.39
Upside / Downside5.19%55.12%149.13%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)81,719.2987,031.0492,688.0698,712.79105,129.12111,962.51115,321.39
Payout Ratio54.81%61.85%68.88%75.92%82.96%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)44,787.7053,824.7163,847.3074,945.4287,216.54100,766.26106,672.28

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.48%9.48%9.48%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)48,702.4249,164.0649,625.69
Year 2 PV (M)52,273.3453,269.0054,274.06
Year 3 PV (M)55,520.2957,114.0858,738.08
Year 4 PV (M)58,462.0960,710.3863,022.89
Year 5 PV (M)61,116.6464,068.6067,133.53
PV of Terminal Value (M)998,468.931,046,695.351,096,767.51
Equity Value (M)1,274,543.711,331,021.461,389,561.77
Shares Outstanding (M)22.7922.7922.79
Fair Value$55,933.64$58,412.18$60,981.23
Upside / Downside-22.64%-19.21%-15.66%

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