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Definitive Analysis

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Daishin Securities Co., Ltd. (003540.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Capital MarketsSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$186,650.45 - $604,039.03$566,073.03
Multi-Stage$80,474.80 - $88,026.14$84,181.36
Blended Fair Value$325,127.19
Current Price$26,400.00
Upside1,131.54%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS12.72%17.82%1,087.481,061.401,251.231,065.97908.89597.62585.90527.56478.59254.51
YoY Growth--2.46%-15.17%17.38%17.28%52.08%2.00%11.06%10.23%88.04%20.67%
Dividend Yield--6.70%6.84%9.78%5.99%5.59%6.98%5.21%3.91%4.02%2.12%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)229,187.06
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)101,540.61
(=) Cash Retained (M)127,646.45
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)45,837.4128,648.3817,189.03
Cash Retained (M)127,646.45127,646.45127,646.45
(-) Cash Required (M)-45,837.41-28,648.38-17,189.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)81,809.0498,998.07110,457.42
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)75.4675.4675.46
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,084.171,311.961,463.83
LTM Dividend per Share1,345.661,345.661,345.66
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,084.171,311.961,463.83
(=) Adjusted Dividend2,429.822,657.622,809.48
WACC / Discount Rate6.87%6.87%6.87%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$186,650.45$566,073.03$604,039.03
Upside / Downside607.01%2,044.22%2,188.03%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)229,187.06244,084.22259,949.70276,846.43294,841.44314,006.14323,426.32
Payout Ratio44.30%53.44%62.58%71.72%80.86%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)101,540.61130,447.76162,683.83198,559.45238,411.56282,605.52299,169.35

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.87%6.87%6.87%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)120,912.12122,058.21123,204.30
Year 2 PV (M)139,768.99142,431.19145,118.51
Year 3 PV (M)158,121.23162,660.32167,285.46
Year 4 PV (M)175,978.72182,746.36189,707.35
Year 5 PV (M)193,351.12202,690.06212,386.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,284,335.525,539,570.905,804,574.74
Equity Value (M)6,072,467.706,352,157.046,642,276.78
Shares Outstanding (M)75.4675.4675.46
Fair Value$80,474.80$84,181.36$88,026.14
Upside / Downside204.83%218.87%233.43%

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