Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Daewoong Co., Ltd. (003090.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - GeneralSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$73,240.60 - $397,209.86$143,002.79
Multi-Stage$43,105.23 - $47,197.35$45,113.64
Blended Fair Value$94,058.21
Current Price$23,050.00
Upside308.06%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS13.67%-0.64%200.46198.61101.68103.89105.64105.64105.64187.83200.14200.14
YoY Growth--0.93%95.33%-2.13%-1.66%0.00%0.00%-43.76%-6.15%0.00%-6.41%
Dividend Yield--1.07%0.98%0.67%0.33%0.32%0.94%0.53%0.89%1.91%1.52%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)81,847.11
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8,632.98
(=) Cash Retained (M)73,214.13
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)16,369.4210,230.896,138.53
Cash Retained (M)73,214.1373,214.1373,214.13
(-) Cash Required (M)-16,369.42-10,230.89-6,138.53
(=) Excess Retained (M)56,844.7162,983.2467,075.60
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)40.8840.8840.88
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,390.541,540.701,640.81
LTM Dividend per Share211.18211.18211.18
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,390.541,540.701,640.81
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,601.721,751.881,851.99
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate5.24%6.24%7.24%
Fair Value$73,240.60$143,002.79$397,209.86
Upside / Downside217.75%520.40%1,623.25%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)81,847.1186,953.4992,378.4698,141.88104,264.87110,769.88114,092.98
Payout Ratio10.55%26.44%42.33%58.22%74.11%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8,632.9822,988.9039,102.5257,137.3077,270.2299,692.89105,536.00

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate5.24%6.24%7.24%
Year 1 PV (M)21,175.7721,376.9921,578.20
Year 2 PV (M)33,177.7433,811.2634,450.77
Year 3 PV (M)44,656.3045,941.4347,250.98
Year 4 PV (M)55,628.3557,773.0459,979.16
Year 5 PV (M)66,110.3169,311.5472,635.59
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,541,379.671,616,017.091,693,518.21
Equity Value (M)1,762,128.141,844,231.341,929,412.91
Shares Outstanding (M)40.8840.8840.88
Fair Value$43,105.23$45,113.64$47,197.35
Upside / Downside87.01%95.72%104.76%

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