Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Kolon Global Corporation (003070.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5,074.76 - $7,852.46$6,362.76
Multi-Stage$11,830.72 - $13,007.81$12,407.76
Blended Fair Value$9,385.26
Current Price$10,080.00
Upside-6.89%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.64%0.00%401.88502.27520.05520.05454.62389.19194.99131.13388.92785.20
YoY Growth---19.99%-3.42%0.00%14.39%16.81%99.60%48.70%-66.28%-50.47%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.84%5.54%3.65%2.36%2.13%5.62%1.95%1.32%2.70%5.84%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)10,679.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7,873.92
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,805.38
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,135.861,334.91800.95
Cash Retained (M)2,805.382,805.382,805.38
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,135.86-1,334.91-800.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)669.521,470.462,004.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)19.5919.5919.59
(=) Excess Retained per Share34.1775.05102.31
LTM Dividend per Share401.88401.88401.88
(+) Excess Retained per Share34.1775.05102.31
(=) Adjusted Dividend436.06476.94504.19
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$5,074.76$6,362.76$7,852.46
Upside / Downside-49.66%-36.88%-22.10%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)10,679.3010,572.5110,466.7810,362.1110,258.4910,155.9110,460.58
Payout Ratio73.73%76.98%80.24%83.49%86.75%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7,873.928,139.208,398.388,651.578,898.859,140.329,676.04

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)7,570.877,648.137,725.38
Year 2 PV (M)7,266.487,415.547,566.10
Year 3 PV (M)6,962.867,178.197,397.92
Year 4 PV (M)6,661.796,937.897,222.49
Year 5 PV (M)6,364.786,696.207,041.30
PV of Terminal Value (M)196,966.53207,223.03217,902.42
Equity Value (M)231,793.32243,098.99254,855.61
Shares Outstanding (M)19.5919.5919.59
Fair Value$11,830.72$12,407.76$13,007.81
Upside / Downside17.37%23.09%29.05%

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