Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Beijing WKW Automotive Parts Co.,Ltd. (002662.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.13 - $1.62$1.37
Multi-Stage$1.84 - $2.02$1.93
Blended Fair Value$1.65
Current Price$3.92
Upside-57.87%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.52%0.11%0.110.080.020.030.110.070.140.300.200.16
YoY Growth--37.65%400.65%-44.38%-73.49%48.11%-47.70%-53.09%46.83%27.23%46.57%
Dividend Yield--2.87%2.32%0.44%0.83%3.41%2.78%2.74%5.02%2.23%2.15%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)235.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)116.96
(=) Cash Retained (M)118.54
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)47.1029.4417.66
Cash Retained (M)118.54118.54118.54
(-) Cash Required (M)-47.10-29.44-17.66
(=) Excess Retained (M)71.4489.11100.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,458.731,458.731,458.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.050.060.07
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.050.060.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.130.140.15
WACC / Discount Rate9.32%9.32%9.32%
Growth Rate-1.89%-0.89%0.11%
Fair Value$1.13$1.37$1.62
Upside / Downside-71.15%-65.00%-58.57%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)235.50233.41231.33229.27227.23225.21231.97
Payout Ratio49.66%57.73%65.80%73.87%81.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)116.96134.75152.21169.35186.18202.69214.57

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.32%9.32%9.32%
Growth Rate-1.89%-0.89%0.11%
Year 1 PV (M)122.02123.26124.51
Year 2 PV (M)124.82127.37129.96
Year 3 PV (M)125.76129.64133.61
Year 4 PV (M)125.20130.38135.72
Year 5 PV (M)123.43129.85136.53
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,069.062,176.682,288.73
Equity Value (M)2,690.282,817.192,949.06
Shares Outstanding (M)1,458.731,458.731,458.73
Fair Value$1.84$1.93$2.02
Upside / Downside-52.95%-50.73%-48.43%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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