Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Nexen Tire Corporation (002350.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$32,667.34 - $77,315.57$48,165.23
Multi-Stage$32,300.53 - $35,426.70$33,834.33
Blended Fair Value$40,999.78
Current Price$5,850.00
Upside600.85%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.83%6.14%115.22100.23105.23105.23105.23100.23100.2399.0179.2774.34
YoY Growth--14.95%-4.75%0.00%0.00%4.98%0.00%1.23%24.90%6.64%17.03%
Dividend Yield--2.13%1.20%1.22%1.64%1.38%2.14%0.98%0.79%0.57%0.51%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)161,672.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)13,378.75
(=) Cash Retained (M)148,293.25
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)32,334.4020,209.0012,125.40
Cash Retained (M)148,293.25148,293.25148,293.25
(-) Cash Required (M)-32,334.40-20,209.00-12,125.40
(=) Excess Retained (M)115,958.85128,084.25136,167.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)102.75102.75102.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,128.551,246.561,325.23
LTM Dividend per Share130.21130.21130.21
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,128.551,246.561,325.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,258.761,376.771,455.44
WACC / Discount Rate7.38%7.38%7.38%
Growth Rate3.39%4.39%5.39%
Fair Value$32,667.34$48,165.23$77,315.57
Upside / Downside458.42%723.34%1,221.63%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)161,672.00168,772.72176,185.31183,923.47192,001.49200,434.30206,447.33
Payout Ratio8.28%24.62%40.97%57.31%73.66%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)13,378.7541,552.1772,174.57105,406.72141,418.79180,390.87190,963.78

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.38%7.38%7.38%
Growth Rate3.39%4.39%5.39%
Year 1 PV (M)38,327.1138,697.8139,068.50
Year 2 PV (M)61,405.7462,599.3163,804.36
Year 3 PV (M)82,719.0385,142.4887,612.80
Year 4 PV (M)102,366.22106,384.36110,519.65
Year 5 PV (M)120,441.59126,379.86132,550.09
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,913,619.923,057,273.533,206,538.25
Equity Value (M)3,318,879.613,476,477.343,640,093.64
Shares Outstanding (M)102.75102.75102.75
Fair Value$32,300.53$33,834.33$35,426.70
Upside / Downside452.15%478.36%505.58%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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