Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Luolai Lifestyle Technology Co., Ltd. (002293.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$15.89 - $50.13$25.55
Multi-Stage$17.71 - $19.38$18.53
Blended Fair Value$22.04
Current Price$8.04
Upside174.11%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.15%17.95%0.620.630.611.200.510.360.340.200.180.34
YoY Growth---1.70%1.89%-48.95%136.52%40.28%7.81%66.94%12.32%-47.10%187.20%
Dividend Yield--7.60%6.33%4.99%9.29%3.76%4.07%2.87%1.47%1.51%2.74%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)511.39
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)503.30
(=) Cash Retained (M)8.09
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)102.2863.9238.35
Cash Retained (M)8.098.098.09
(-) Cash Required (M)-102.28-63.92-38.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)-94.18-55.83-30.26
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)831.74831.74831.74
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.11-0.07-0.04
LTM Dividend per Share0.610.610.61
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.11-0.07-0.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.490.540.57
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate3.14%4.14%5.14%
Fair Value$15.89$25.55$50.13
Upside / Downside97.63%217.79%523.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)511.39532.57554.63577.61601.53626.45645.24
Payout Ratio98.42%96.73%95.05%93.37%91.68%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)503.30515.18527.18539.29551.51563.80596.85

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate3.14%4.14%5.14%
Year 1 PV (M)479.84484.49489.14
Year 2 PV (M)457.33466.24475.24
Year 3 PV (M)435.74448.54461.58
Year 4 PV (M)415.04431.37448.18
Year 5 PV (M)395.18414.71435.01
PV of Terminal Value (M)12,544.5013,164.5213,808.83
Equity Value (M)14,727.6215,409.8716,117.97
Shares Outstanding (M)831.74831.74831.74
Fair Value$17.71$18.53$19.38
Upside / Downside120.24%130.44%141.03%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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