Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Bosun Co., Ltd. (002282.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Tools & AccessoriesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9.64 - $33.60$15.91
Multi-Stage$6.39 - $6.97$6.68
Blended Fair Value$11.29
Current Price$7.00
Upside61.35%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS25.30%15.97%0.150.040.160.090.070.050.100.030.030.05
YoY Growth--309.02%-76.29%71.44%40.60%32.12%-50.43%295.58%-10.79%-44.14%45.83%
Dividend Yield--2.01%0.57%2.03%1.10%0.65%0.72%0.89%0.20%0.21%0.43%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)182.63
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)105.37
(=) Cash Retained (M)77.26
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)36.5322.8313.70
Cash Retained (M)77.2677.2677.26
(-) Cash Required (M)-36.53-22.83-13.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)40.7454.4463.57
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)529.06529.06529.06
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.080.100.12
LTM Dividend per Share0.200.200.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.080.100.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.280.300.32
WACC / Discount Rate8.52%8.52%8.52%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$9.64$15.91$33.60
Upside / Downside37.75%127.33%380.05%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)182.63194.50207.15220.61234.95250.22257.73
Payout Ratio57.69%64.16%70.62%77.08%83.54%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)105.37124.78146.28170.04196.27225.20238.40

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.52%8.52%8.52%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)113.91114.99116.07
Year 2 PV (M)121.89124.21126.55
Year 3 PV (M)129.33133.05136.83
Year 4 PV (M)136.27141.51146.90
Year 5 PV (M)142.73149.62156.78
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,736.432,868.603,005.82
Equity Value (M)3,380.553,531.973,688.95
Shares Outstanding (M)529.06529.06529.06
Fair Value$6.39$6.68$6.97
Upside / Downside-8.72%-4.63%-0.39%

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