Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Inner Mongolia Dazhong Mining Co., Ltd. (001203.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8.19 - $17.13$11.57
Multi-Stage$9.72 - $10.64$10.17
Blended Fair Value$10.87
Current Price$12.69
Upside-14.32%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720132012
DPS-9.67%3.12%0.220.380.090.520.160.370.230.280.290.16
YoY Growth---42.62%334.58%-83.12%222.41%-55.70%59.12%-16.19%-4.88%85.35%-3.81%
Dividend Yield--2.57%3.90%0.74%3.99%1.26%2.84%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)680.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)498.45
(=) Cash Retained (M)181.85
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)136.0685.0451.02
Cash Retained (M)181.85181.85181.85
(-) Cash Required (M)-136.06-85.04-51.02
(=) Excess Retained (M)45.7996.81130.82
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,488.091,488.091,488.09
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.030.070.09
LTM Dividend per Share0.330.330.33
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.030.070.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.370.400.42
WACC / Discount Rate7.35%7.35%7.35%
Growth Rate2.76%3.76%4.76%
Fair Value$8.19$11.57$17.13
Upside / Downside-35.43%-8.80%34.98%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)680.30705.88732.41759.95788.52818.16842.71
Payout Ratio73.27%76.62%79.96%83.31%86.65%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)498.45540.81585.65633.10683.28736.35779.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.35%7.35%7.35%
Growth Rate2.76%3.76%4.76%
Year 1 PV (M)498.95503.80508.66
Year 2 PV (M)498.49508.24518.08
Year 3 PV (M)497.16511.82526.76
Year 4 PV (M)495.04514.59534.71
Year 5 PV (M)492.18516.60541.98
PV of Terminal Value (M)11,989.0812,583.9013,202.10
Equity Value (M)14,470.8915,138.9515,832.29
Shares Outstanding (M)1,488.091,488.091,488.09
Fair Value$9.72$10.17$10.64
Upside / Downside-23.37%-19.83%-16.16%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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