Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Kangnam Jevisco Co., Ltd (000860.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8,680.61 - $18,785.80$12,412.00
Multi-Stage$7,416.84 - $8,089.86$7,747.27
Blended Fair Value$10,079.63
Current Price$12,100.00
Upside-16.70%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.22%2.14%278.45264.37263.75263.75250.34275.37275.37250.33250.34250.34
YoY Growth--5.33%0.23%0.00%5.36%-9.09%0.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%11.12%
Dividend Yield--1.23%1.08%1.23%1.02%0.82%0.97%1.01%0.77%0.70%0.62%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5,908.78
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,797.82
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,110.96
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,181.76738.60443.16
Cash Retained (M)2,110.962,110.962,110.96
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,181.76-738.60-443.16
(=) Excess Retained (M)929.211,372.371,667.80
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)12.9812.9812.98
(=) Excess Retained per Share71.57105.71128.47
LTM Dividend per Share292.54292.54292.54
(+) Excess Retained per Share71.57105.71128.47
(=) Adjusted Dividend364.11398.24421.00
WACC / Discount Rate9.07%9.07%9.07%
Growth Rate4.68%5.68%6.68%
Fair Value$8,680.61$12,412.00$18,785.80
Upside / Downside-28.26%2.58%55.25%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5,908.786,244.246,598.746,973.377,369.267,787.638,021.26
Payout Ratio64.27%69.42%74.56%79.71%84.85%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,797.824,334.714,920.315,558.456,253.177,008.877,419.67

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.07%9.07%9.07%
Growth Rate4.68%5.68%6.68%
Year 1 PV (M)3,936.713,974.324,011.92
Year 2 PV (M)4,058.264,136.174,214.82
Year 3 PV (M)4,163.654,284.124,406.89
Year 4 PV (M)4,253.974,418.874,588.52
Year 5 PV (M)4,330.284,541.114,760.07
PV of Terminal Value (M)75,545.6479,223.7583,043.75
Equity Value (M)96,288.52100,578.34105,025.98
Shares Outstanding (M)12.9812.9812.98
Fair Value$7,416.84$7,747.27$8,089.86
Upside / Downside-38.70%-35.97%-33.14%

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