Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Midea Group Co., Ltd. (000333.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Furnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$523.18 - $1,164.91$1,091.69
Multi-Stage$176.84 - $193.44$184.99
Blended Fair Value$638.34
Current Price$72.66
Upside778.53%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS21.24%20.33%2.942.531.761.451.621.121.110.930.720.57
YoY Growth--16.06%43.46%21.79%-10.84%44.93%0.79%19.66%29.36%25.89%23.65%
Dividend Yield--3.74%3.82%3.28%2.54%1.97%2.31%2.10%1.70%2.16%2.77%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)44,721.51
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)25,657.42
(=) Cash Retained (M)19,064.09
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8,944.305,590.193,354.11
Cash Retained (M)19,064.0919,064.0919,064.09
(-) Cash Required (M)-8,944.30-5,590.19-3,354.11
(=) Excess Retained (M)10,119.7913,473.9015,709.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)7,634.927,634.927,634.92
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.331.762.06
LTM Dividend per Share3.363.363.36
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.331.762.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.695.135.42
WACC / Discount Rate6.44%6.44%6.44%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$523.18$1,091.69$1,164.91
Upside / Downside620.03%1,402.47%1,503.23%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)44,721.5147,628.4050,724.2554,021.3357,532.7161,272.3463,110.51
Payout Ratio57.37%63.90%70.42%76.95%83.47%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)25,657.4230,433.2335,721.5041,568.6648,025.0355,145.1158,377.22

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.44%6.44%6.44%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)28,322.1328,590.5928,859.04
Year 2 PV (M)30,937.5131,526.7832,121.61
Year 3 PV (M)33,504.2234,466.0135,446.02
Year 4 PV (M)36,022.9237,408.2638,833.18
Year 5 PV (M)38,494.2740,353.5542,284.00
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,182,906.431,240,041.251,299,362.76
Equity Value (M)1,350,187.481,412,386.441,476,906.62
Shares Outstanding (M)7,634.927,634.927,634.92
Fair Value$176.84$184.99$193.44
Upside / Downside143.39%154.60%166.23%

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