Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Essential Utilities, Inc. (WTRG)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated WaterSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$119.51 - $477.39$321.73
Multi-Stage$59.00 - $64.49$61.69
Blended Fair Value$191.71
Current Price$37.14
Upside416.19%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS12.94%11.94%1.241.141.040.930.840.680.540.510.470.44
YoY Growth--9.34%9.76%11.59%11.21%23.37%25.06%7.16%7.44%7.98%8.15%
Dividend Yield--3.15%3.09%2.37%1.82%1.87%1.66%1.50%1.48%1.46%1.37%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)668.45
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)366.25
(=) Cash Retained (M)302.20
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)133.6983.5650.13
Cash Retained (M)302.20302.20302.20
(-) Cash Required (M)-133.69-83.56-50.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)168.51218.64252.06
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)278.47278.47278.47
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.610.790.91
LTM Dividend per Share1.321.321.32
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.610.790.91
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.922.102.22
WACC / Discount Rate7.20%7.20%7.20%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$119.51$321.73$477.39
Upside / Downside221.78%766.28%1,185.38%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)668.45711.90758.17807.45859.94915.83943.31
Payout Ratio54.79%61.83%68.87%75.92%82.96%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)366.25440.19522.19612.99713.39824.25872.56

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.20%7.20%7.20%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)406.79410.64414.50
Year 2 PV (M)445.95454.44463.01
Year 3 PV (M)483.77497.65511.80
Year 4 PV (M)520.28540.29560.87
Year 5 PV (M)555.51582.34610.20
PV of Terminal Value (M)14,017.5214,694.5715,397.53
Equity Value (M)16,429.8017,179.9317,957.91
Shares Outstanding (M)278.47278.47278.47
Fair Value$59.00$61.69$64.49
Upside / Downside58.86%66.11%73.64%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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