Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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U.S. Silica Holdings, Inc. (SLCA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$13.39 - $22.21$17.29
Multi-Stage$13.98 - $15.33$14.64
Blended Fair Value$15.97
Current Price$15.43
Upside3.47%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS-74.15%-47.06%0.000.000.000.080.240.250.260.190.340.34
YoY Growth---85.98%530.77%-99.58%-66.73%-6.63%-2.28%34.72%-43.56%-0.28%102.04%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.02%0.00%0.64%13.07%1.46%1.01%0.40%1.49%0.95%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)88.98
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.02
(=) Cash Retained (M)88.96
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)17.8011.126.67
Cash Retained (M)88.9688.9688.96
(-) Cash Required (M)-17.80-11.12-6.67
(=) Excess Retained (M)71.1677.8482.29
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)79.0579.0579.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.900.981.04
LTM Dividend per Share0.000.000.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.900.981.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.900.981.04
WACC / Discount Rate9.69%9.69%9.69%
Growth Rate2.78%3.78%4.78%
Fair Value$13.39$17.29$22.21
Upside / Downside-13.22%12.05%43.94%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)88.9892.3495.8399.45103.21107.10110.32
Payout Ratio0.02%18.02%36.01%54.01%72.00%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.0216.6434.5153.7174.3196.39102.04

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.69%9.69%9.69%
Growth Rate2.78%3.78%4.78%
Year 1 PV (M)15.0215.1715.32
Year 2 PV (M)28.1428.6929.24
Year 3 PV (M)39.5340.7041.89
Year 4 PV (M)49.3951.3453.34
Year 5 PV (M)57.8460.7163.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)915.41960.821,008.02
Equity Value (M)1,105.331,157.421,211.49
Shares Outstanding (M)79.0579.0579.05
Fair Value$13.98$14.64$15.33
Upside / Downside-9.38%-5.11%-0.68%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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