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Definitive Analysis

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Raymond James Financial, Inc. (RJF)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Capital MarketsSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$230.93 - $581.15$347.33
Multi-Stage$159.63 - $174.43$166.89
Blended Fair Value$257.11
Current Price$172.60
Upside48.97%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS15.20%14.96%2.001.851.711.331.050.990.920.730.610.55
YoY Growth--8.62%7.89%28.16%27.06%6.34%7.33%26.49%18.90%11.96%9.98%
Dividend Yield--1.16%1.19%1.53%1.25%1.05%1.55%1.54%1.47%1.03%1.18%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,135.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)416.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,719.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)427.00266.88160.13
Cash Retained (M)1,719.001,719.001,719.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-427.00-266.88-160.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,292.001,452.131,558.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)207.50207.50207.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share6.237.007.51
LTM Dividend per Share2.002.002.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share6.237.007.51
(=) Adjusted Dividend8.239.009.52
WACC / Discount Rate9.26%9.26%9.26%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$230.93$347.33$581.15
Upside / Downside33.79%101.24%236.70%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,135.002,273.782,421.572,578.972,746.612,925.143,012.89
Payout Ratio19.48%33.59%47.69%61.79%75.90%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)416.00763.711,154.871,593.652,084.592,632.622,786.92

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.26%9.26%9.26%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)692.42698.98705.55
Year 2 PV (M)949.32967.40985.65
Year 3 PV (M)1,187.711,221.811,256.55
Year 4 PV (M)1,408.571,462.741,518.46
Year 5 PV (M)1,612.821,690.721,771.60
PV of Terminal Value (M)27,271.7128,588.9429,956.59
Equity Value (M)33,122.5534,630.6036,194.40
Shares Outstanding (M)207.50207.50207.50
Fair Value$159.63$166.89$174.43
Upside / Downside-7.52%-3.31%1.06%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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