Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Residential ConstructionSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$272.35 - $636.68$399.88
Multi-Stage$189.58 - $207.29$198.28
Blended Fair Value$299.08
Current Price$132.13
Upside126.35%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.51%8.29%0.830.700.710.730.640.610.510.560.620.57
YoY Growth--17.72%-1.15%-2.52%13.56%6.40%17.62%-7.74%-9.56%7.51%53.29%
Dividend Yield--0.81%0.60%1.22%1.75%1.23%2.71%1.84%1.89%2.62%3.07%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,630.36
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)175.39
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,454.96
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)526.07328.79197.28
Cash Retained (M)2,454.962,454.962,454.96
(-) Cash Required (M)-526.07-328.79-197.28
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,928.892,126.172,257.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)202.17202.17202.17
(=) Excess Retained per Share9.5410.5211.17
LTM Dividend per Share0.870.870.87
(+) Excess Retained per Share9.5410.5211.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend10.4111.3812.04
WACC / Discount Rate9.53%9.53%9.53%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$272.35$399.88$636.68
Upside / Downside106.12%202.64%381.86%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,630.362,801.332,983.413,177.343,383.863,603.813,711.93
Payout Ratio6.67%23.33%40.00%56.67%73.33%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)175.39653.671,193.391,800.512,481.513,243.433,433.53

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.53%9.53%9.53%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)591.18596.79602.39
Year 2 PV (M)976.12994.721,013.48
Year 3 PV (M)1,331.921,370.161,409.12
Year 4 PV (M)1,660.211,724.051,789.72
Year 5 PV (M)1,962.522,057.312,155.72
PV of Terminal Value (M)31,805.3333,341.5434,936.55
Equity Value (M)38,327.2940,084.5641,906.99
Shares Outstanding (M)202.17202.17202.17
Fair Value$189.58$198.28$207.29
Upside / Downside43.48%50.06%56.88%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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