Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Analysis Mode

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras (PBR-A)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas IntegratedSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$34.14 - $65.77$46.78
Multi-Stage$51.15 - $56.02$53.54
Blended Fair Value$50.16
Current Price$11.82
Upside324.37%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS57.73%16.68%2.843.055.852.030.210.290.100.000.000.00
YoY Growth---6.83%-47.83%188.28%856.69%-27.17%200.32%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--21.81%20.50%63.04%14.52%2.48%5.40%0.67%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)13,955.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)12,074.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,881.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,791.001,744.381,046.63
Cash Retained (M)1,881.001,881.001,881.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,791.00-1,744.38-1,046.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)-910.00136.63834.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)6,444.376,444.376,444.37
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.140.020.13
LTM Dividend per Share1.871.871.87
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.140.020.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.731.892.00
WACC / Discount Rate6.76%6.76%6.76%
Growth Rate1.60%2.60%3.60%
Fair Value$34.14$46.78$65.77
Upside / Downside188.84%295.80%456.39%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)13,955.0014,318.2114,690.8715,073.2415,465.5515,868.0716,344.12
Payout Ratio86.52%87.22%87.91%88.61%89.30%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)12,074.0012,487.8812,915.1213,356.1513,811.3814,281.2715,118.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.76%6.76%6.76%
Growth Rate1.60%2.60%3.60%
Year 1 PV (M)11,583.3411,697.3511,811.36
Year 2 PV (M)11,111.9211,331.7311,553.69
Year 3 PV (M)10,659.0110,976.8511,300.94
Year 4 PV (M)10,223.9410,632.4211,053.03
Year 5 PV (M)9,806.0210,298.1810,809.91
PV of Terminal Value (M)276,216.57290,079.76304,494.07
Equity Value (M)329,600.80345,016.29361,022.99
Shares Outstanding (M)6,444.376,444.376,444.37
Fair Value$51.15$53.54$56.02
Upside / Downside332.70%352.94%373.96%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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