Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Newtek Business Services Corp. (NEWTL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$383.04 - $451.29$422.92
Multi-Stage$81.80 - $89.57$85.61
Blended Fair Value$254.27
Current Price$25.08
Upside913.83%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-59.56%0.00%0.020.542.472.681.631.561.241.081.040.58
YoY Growth---96.88%-78.08%-7.98%64.72%4.45%25.70%15.02%3.29%80.66%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.07%2.24%10.23%11.12%6.75%6.46%5.14%4.47%4.33%2.39%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)59.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)26.17
(=) Cash Retained (M)33.12
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11.867.414.45
Cash Retained (M)33.1233.1233.12
(-) Cash Required (M)-11.86-7.41-4.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)21.2725.7128.68
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)26.1326.1326.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.810.981.10
LTM Dividend per Share1.001.001.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.810.981.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.821.992.10
WACC / Discount Rate5.88%5.88%5.88%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$383.04$422.92$451.29
Upside / Downside1,427.28%1,586.30%1,699.40%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)59.3063.1567.2571.6376.2881.2483.68
Payout Ratio44.14%53.31%62.48%71.65%80.83%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)26.1733.6642.0251.3261.6673.1277.40

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.88%5.88%5.88%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)31.5031.8032.09
Year 2 PV (M)36.7837.4838.19
Year 3 PV (M)42.0343.2444.47
Year 4 PV (M)47.2449.0650.93
Year 5 PV (M)52.4254.9557.58
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,927.462,020.562,117.22
Equity Value (M)2,137.442,237.092,340.48
Shares Outstanding (M)26.1326.1326.13
Fair Value$81.80$85.61$89.57
Upside / Downside226.15%241.36%257.14%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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