DDM Analysis: MDARA.RG

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$153.02 - $334.07	$313.07
Multi-Stage	$50.93 - $55.71	$53.28
Blended Fair Value	$183.18
Current Price	$13.50
Upside	1,256.86%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	37.27%	0.00%	0.58	0.35	0.50	0.40	0.15	0.12	0.09	0.05	0.03	0.01
YoY Growth	-	-	65.79%	-29.92%	25.04%	168.38%	25.00%	33.33%	68.54%	66.67%	164.08%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	5.32%	2.33%	3.06%	1.45%	0.75%	1.51%	1.12%	0.71%	0.44%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	6.35
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	3.51
(=) Cash Retained (M)	2.84

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	1.27	0.79	0.48
Cash Retained (M)	2.84	2.84	2.84
(-) Cash Required (M)	-1.27	-0.79	-0.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1.57	2.04	2.36
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	3.78	3.78	3.78
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.41	0.54	0.62
LTM Dividend per Share	0.93	0.93	0.93
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.41	0.54	0.62
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.34	1.47	1.55
WACC / Discount Rate	6.43%	6.43%	6.43%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$153.02	$313.07	$334.07
Upside / Downside	1,033.50%	2,219.07%	2,374.61%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	6.35	6.76	7.20	7.67	8.17	8.70	8.96
Payout Ratio	55.30%	62.24%	69.18%	76.12%	83.06%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	3.51	4.21	4.98	5.84	6.78	7.83	8.29

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.43%	6.43%	6.43%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	3.92	3.95	3.99
Year 2 PV (M)	4.32	4.40	4.48
Year 3 PV (M)	4.71	4.84	4.98
Year 4 PV (M)	5.09	5.29	5.49
Year 5 PV (M)	5.47	5.73	6.01
PV of Terminal Value (M)	169.00	177.16	185.64
Equity Value (M)	192.51	201.38	210.59
Shares Outstanding (M)	3.78	3.78	3.78
Fair Value	$50.93	$53.28	$55.71
Upside / Downside	277.25%	294.64%	312.69%

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AS MADARA Cosmetics (MDARA.RG)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener