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Definitive Analysis

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Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. (KNSL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - Property & CasualtySector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$583.33 - $2,144.45$975.50
Multi-Stage$361.22 - $395.33$377.96
Blended Fair Value$676.73
Current Price$425.26
Upside59.13%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS15.01%0.00%0.600.560.510.430.350.300.250.220.090.00
YoY Growth--7.61%8.61%19.02%24.13%16.51%17.32%17.21%140.30%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.12%0.11%0.17%0.19%0.21%0.28%0.37%0.42%0.28%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)474.09
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)15.34
(=) Cash Retained (M)458.74
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)94.8259.2635.56
Cash Retained (M)458.74458.74458.74
(-) Cash Required (M)-94.82-59.26-35.56
(=) Excess Retained (M)363.93399.48423.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)23.3123.3123.31
(=) Excess Retained per Share15.6217.1418.16
LTM Dividend per Share0.660.660.66
(+) Excess Retained per Share15.6217.1418.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend16.2717.8018.82
WACC / Discount Rate8.44%8.44%8.44%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$583.33$975.50$2,144.45
Upside / Downside37.17%129.39%404.27%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)474.09504.90537.72572.67609.90649.54669.03
Payout Ratio3.24%20.59%37.94%55.29%72.65%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)15.34103.96204.02316.66443.07584.59618.85

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.44%8.44%8.44%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)94.9695.8696.76
Year 2 PV (M)170.25173.49176.76
Year 3 PV (M)241.37248.30255.36
Year 4 PV (M)308.52320.38332.58
Year 5 PV (M)371.84389.80408.44
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,231.497,580.777,943.42
Equity Value (M)8,418.428,808.609,213.34
Shares Outstanding (M)23.3123.3123.31
Fair Value$361.22$377.96$395.33
Upside / Downside-15.06%-11.12%-7.04%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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