Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Sector

International Bancshares Corporation (IBOC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$175.86 - $541.15$280.82
Multi-Stage$115.29 - $126.03$120.56
Blended Fair Value$200.69
Current Price$68.75
Upside191.91%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.63%8.97%1.321.261.211.171.121.100.800.700.640.62
YoY Growth--4.90%3.81%3.48%4.16%1.83%38.45%13.77%10.17%2.74%10.80%
Dividend Yield--2.09%2.25%2.83%2.77%2.42%4.10%2.03%1.80%1.79%2.51%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)420.49
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)87.06
(=) Cash Retained (M)333.43
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)84.1052.5631.54
Cash Retained (M)333.43333.43333.43
(-) Cash Required (M)-84.10-52.56-31.54
(=) Excess Retained (M)249.33280.87301.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)62.2762.2762.27
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.004.514.85
LTM Dividend per Share1.401.401.40
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.004.514.85
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.405.916.25
WACC / Discount Rate8.74%8.74%8.74%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$175.86$280.82$541.15
Upside / Downside155.79%308.46%687.13%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)420.49447.83476.93507.93540.95576.11593.40
Payout Ratio20.70%34.56%48.42%62.28%76.14%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)87.06154.78230.94316.35411.88518.50548.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.74%8.74%8.74%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)141.01142.34143.68
Year 2 PV (M)191.66195.31198.99
Year 3 PV (M)239.17246.03253.03
Year 4 PV (M)283.67294.58305.80
Year 5 PV (M)325.31341.03357.34
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,998.856,288.606,589.43
Equity Value (M)7,179.677,507.897,848.28
Shares Outstanding (M)62.2762.2762.27
Fair Value$115.29$120.56$126.03
Upside / Downside67.70%75.37%83.32%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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