Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

HeidelbergCement AG (HEID.SW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Construction MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$318.60 - $1,370.54$552.34
Multi-Stage$299.16 - $328.06$313.34
Blended Fair Value$432.84
Current Price$199.45
Upside117.02%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.56%17.12%3.062.712.562.440.672.332.111.781.370.79
YoY Growth--12.83%5.63%4.99%266.50%-71.42%10.53%18.74%29.96%73.39%25.24%
Dividend Yield--1.94%2.73%3.81%4.73%0.86%5.96%3.17%2.23%1.56%1.05%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,893.70
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)588.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,304.90
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)378.74236.71142.03
Cash Retained (M)1,304.901,304.901,304.90
(-) Cash Required (M)-378.74-236.71-142.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)926.161,068.191,162.87
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)178.76178.76178.76
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.185.986.51
LTM Dividend per Share3.293.293.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.185.986.51
(=) Adjusted Dividend8.479.279.80
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate3.56%4.56%5.56%
Fair Value$318.60$552.34$1,370.54
Upside / Downside59.74%176.93%587.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,893.701,980.082,070.402,164.852,263.602,366.852,437.85
Payout Ratio31.09%42.87%54.66%66.44%78.22%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)588.80848.941,131.591,438.261,770.552,130.162,255.02

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate3.56%4.56%5.56%
Year 1 PV (M)790.87798.51806.14
Year 2 PV (M)982.071,001.131,020.37
Year 3 PV (M)1,162.831,196.851,231.51
Year 4 PV (M)1,333.571,385.831,439.61
Year 5 PV (M)1,494.681,568.251,644.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)47,712.8150,061.3252,501.42
Equity Value (M)53,476.8356,011.8858,643.74
Shares Outstanding (M)178.76178.76178.76
Fair Value$299.16$313.34$328.06
Upside / Downside49.99%57.10%64.48%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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